Desde marzo de 2020 estamos recopilando respuestas a encuestas que usamos para estimar la incidencia de COVID-19 en España. La encuesta para España está accesible en esta URL: https://survey.coronasurveys.org/ES
Además de las estimaciones globales para todo el país que se pueden encontrar en la página https://coronasurveys.org/data/, estamos calculando estimaciones a nivel de provincia.
A continuación mostramos la estimación de casos totales por 100.000 habitantes:
A continuación mostramos la estimación de casos en los últimos 14 días por 100.000 habitantes:
Esta es la cobertura de la población (en personas por 100.000 habitantes) usada para las estimaciones anteriores:
Spain: Latest Estimates
| date | region | regionname | population | sample_size | reach | sample_size_recent | reach_recent | cases_est | cases_low | cases_high | recentcases_est | recentcases_low | recentcases_high | fatalities_est | fatalities_low | fatalities_high | p_cases | p_cases_low | p_cases_high | p_fatalities | p_fatalities_low | p_fatalities_high | p_recentcases | p_recentcases_low | p_recentcases_high | p_stillsick | p_stillsick_low | p_stillsick_high |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020/09/25 | ESCE | Ciudad Autónoma:Ceuta | 84777 | 1 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESML | Ciudad Autónoma:Melilla | 86487 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESC | Provincia:A Coruña | 1119596 | 5 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 68898.2153846154 | 3489.69765003768 | 134306.733119193 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.0615384615384615 | 0.00311692579290895 | 0.119959997284014 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESVI | Provincia:Álava | 331549 | 2 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 49732.35 | 23790.2032180449 | 75674.4967819551 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.0717547126308475 | 0.228245287369153 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESAB | Provincia:Albacete | 388167 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 77633.4 | 0 | 213728.250003196 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.550609016230633 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESA | Provincia:Alicante | 1858683 | 11 | 529 | 2 | 45 | 115948.088846881 | 77642.0082639287 | 154254.169429833 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0623818525519849 | 0.0417725928864302 | 0.0829911122175396 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0606060606060606 | 0 | 0.142015174182824 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESAL | Provincia:Almería | 716820 | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESO | Provincia:Asturias | 1022800 | 77 | 4955 | 1 | 25 | 25389.3844601413 | 20958.511068016 | 29820.2578522665 | 122736 | 0 | 253022.90431407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0248234106962664 | 0.0204913092178491 | 0.0291555121746837 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.170593405507882 | 1.02940659449212 | 0.0862068965517241 | 0.0139749967382062 | 0.158438796365242 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESAV | Provincia:Ávila | 157640 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 21018.6666666667 | 0 | 48137.0816696953 | NA | NA | NA | 10509.3333333333 | 0 | 30408.8096038583 | 0.133333333333333 | 0 | 0.305360832718189 | 0.5 | 0 | 1.19295191217484 | NA | NA | NA | 0.5 | 0 | 1.19295191217484 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESBA | Provincia:Badajoz | 673559 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESPM | Provincia:Balears | 1149460 | 55 | 3294 | 0 | 0 | 40129.9028536733 | 32924.6247873442 | 47335.1809200025 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.0349119611414693 | 0.0286435585295218 | 0.0411803637534168 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.130434782608696 | 0.0331114516926437 | 0.227758113524748 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESB | Provincia:Barcelona | 5664579 | 21 | 872 | 0 | 0 | 188386.228211009 | 120971.655242637 | 255800.801179382 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.033256880733945 | 0.0213558068909687 | 0.0451579545769212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESBI | Provincia:Bizkaia | 1152651 | 14 | 776 | 0 | 0 | 81695.625 | 60884.1760693642 | 102507.073930636 | NA | NA | NA | 10977.6285714286 | 0 | 26118.945349875 | 0.0708762886597938 | 0.0528209979164242 | 0.0889315794031634 | 0.117647058823529 | 0 | 0.270803524690984 | NA | NA | NA | 0.0181818181818182 | 0 | 0.0534920799116028 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESBU | Provincia:Burgos | 356958 | 14 | 658 | 14 | 658 | 33091.8510638298 | 25181.8151867236 | 41001.8869409359 | 1627.46808510638 | 0 | 3464.88473560373 | 1084.97872340426 | 0 | 2586.36792424234 | 0.0927051671732523 | 0.0705455969237939 | 0.114864737422711 | 0.0327868852459016 | 0 | 0.0774752375492101 | 0.0491803278688525 | 0 | 0.103446346881263 | 0.163934426229508 | 0.0710295676553774 | 0.256839284803639 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESCC | Provincia:Cáceres | 394151 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESCA | Provincia:Cádiz | 1240155 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESS | Provincia:Cantabria | 581078 | 32 | 2210 | 1 | 50 | 20508.6352941176 | 16038.3523226944 | 24978.9182655409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0352941176470588 | 0.0276010317422005 | 0.0429872035519171 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESCS | Provincia:Castellón | 579962 | 3 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 73032.2518518518 | 40574.9479808088 | 105489.555722895 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.125925925925926 | 0.0699613905407747 | 0.181890461311077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESCR | Provincia:Ciudad Real | 495761 | 1 | 40 | 1 | 40 | 61970.125 | 11160.0907651752 | 112780.159234825 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12394.025 | 0 | 36380.2976907131 | 0.125 | 0.0225110300430554 | 0.227488969956945 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.550609016230633 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESCO | Provincia:Córdoba | 782979 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESCU | Provincia:Cuenca | 196329 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESSS | Provincia:Gipuzkoa | 723576 | 4 | 175 | 0 | 0 | 20673.6 | 2813.46923355347 | 38533.7307664465 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0285714285714286 | 0.00388828434546401 | 0.0532545727973931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0.2 | 0 | 0.550609016230633 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESGI | Provincia:Girona | 771044 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESGR | Provincia:Granada | 914678 | 4 | 121 | 1 | 69 | 60474.5785123967 | 19977.6128086206 | 100971.544216173 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18112.4356435644 | 0 | 42964.7511788443 | 0.0661157024793388 | 0.0218411427940987 | 0.110390262164579 | 0.285714285714286 | 0 | 0.620372146798186 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.125 | 0 | 0.354172303767662 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESGU | Provincia:Guadalajara | 257762 | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 68736.5333333333 | 39894.462583841 | 97578.6040828256 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.266666666666667 | 0.15477247454567 | 0.378560858787663 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESH | Provincia:Huelva | 521870 | 4 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 3034.12790697674 | 0 | 8963.59697385369 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00581395348837209 | 0 | 0.0171759192401435 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESHU | Provincia:Huesca | 220461 | 1 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 4409.22 | 0 | 12964.2768045587 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.02 | 0 | 0.058805307081791 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESJ | Provincia:Jaén | 633564 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 98554.4 | 51114.2959493049 | 145994.504050695 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.155555555555556 | 0.0806773995197089 | 0.230433711591402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0.0714285714285714 | 0 | 0.206333468106206 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESLO | Provincia:La Rioja | 316798 | 24 | 1391 | 0 | 0 | 20952.851186197 | 16815.3482365745 | 25090.3541358195 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0661394680086269 | 0.0530790858420019 | 0.0791998501752519 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0.0298507462686567 | 0 | 0.0705988650180609 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESGC | Provincia:Las Palmas | 1120406 | 6 | 310 | 2 | 100 | 36142.1290322581 | 14105.6804973264 | 58178.5775671897 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4871.33043478261 | 0 | 14398.184311811 | 0.032258064516129 | 0.0125897937866509 | 0.0519263352456071 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.550609016230633 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.285938509691368 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESLE | Provincia:León | 460001 | 2 | 130 | 1 | 100 | 24769.2846153846 | 6921.12611314278 | 42617.4431176265 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0538461538461538 | 0.0150458936244547 | 0.092646414067853 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESL | Provincia:Lleida | 434930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESLU | Provincia:Lugo | 329587 | 1 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 8239.675 | 0 | 24185.9952174315 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.025 | 0 | 0.0733827342019907 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESM | Provincia:Madrid | 6663394 | 100 | 6155 | 15 | 937 | 732919.210073111 | 680834.908258507 | 785003.511887715 | 71114.1302027748 | 27273.7749018676 | 114954.485503682 | 69153.9570800352 | 51600.0517975303 | 86707.86236254 | 0.109991876523152 | 0.102175394139759 | 0.117808358906545 | 0.0920436817472699 | 0.0696642762780633 | 0.114423087216476 | 0.0714285714285714 | 0.0287678973274706 | 0.114089245529672 | 0.0794602698650675 | 0.0589353504571679 | 0.099985189272967 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESMA | Provincia:Málaga | 1661785 | 5 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 128590.505952381 | 61448.1574074335 | 195732.854497328 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.0773809523809524 | 0.0369772006652085 | 0.117784704096696 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.0769230769230769 | 0 | 0.221774806631782 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESMU | Provincia:Murcia | 1493898 | 63 | 3678 | 1 | 61 | 29650.5040783034 | 22916.6218882187 | 36384.3862683881 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17370.9069767442 | 0 | 51218.7363343691 | 0.0198477433387711 | 0.015340151662442 | 0.0243553350151002 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.674344650278564 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESNA | Provincia:Navarra / Nafarroa | 654214 | 26 | 1720 | 0 | 0 | 26624.988372093 | 20516.0429313847 | 32733.9338128013 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0406976744186047 | 0.0313598347503794 | 0.0500355140868299 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0.0666666666666667 | 0 | 0.1929003400397 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESOR | Provincia:Ourense | 307651 | 2 | 160 | 1 | 100 | 7691.275 | 248.776720011679 | 15133.7732799883 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.025 | 0.000808632899004649 | 0.0491913671009954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0100090038649866 | 0.989990996135013 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESP | Provincia:Palencia | 160980 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESPO | Provincia:Pontevedra | 942665 | 9 | 406 | 0 | 0 | 6965.50492610837 | 0 | 14818.3960031139 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00738916256157635 | 0 | 0.0157196840904392 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.333333333333333 | 0 | 0.866767964039479 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESSA | Provincia:Salamanca | 330119 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESTF | Provincia:Santa Cruz de Tenerife | 1032983 | 5 | 134 | 0 | 0 | 15417.6567164179 | 0 | 36624.9885171917 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.0149253731343284 | 0 | 0.0354555578525413 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESSG | Provincia:Segovia | 153129 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 7656.45 | 0 | 22282.8465696093 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.05 | 0 | 0.145516829402721 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESSE | Provincia:Sevilla | 1942389 | 5 | 180 | 2 | 45 | 10791.05 | 0 | 31882.2873377776 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00555555555555556 | 0 | 0.0164139558748415 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESSO | Provincia:Soria | 88636 | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 6893.91111111111 | 1989.54885022408 | 11798.2733719981 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.0777777777777778 | 0.0224462842436943 | 0.133109271311861 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.285714285714286 | 0 | 0.620372146798186 |
| 2020/09/25 | EST | Provincia:Tarragona | 804664 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESTE | Provincia:Teruel | 134137 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESTO | Provincia:Toledo | 694844 | 21 | 1135 | 4 | 190 | 42241.6176211454 | 32582.3375604832 | 51900.8976818076 | 3657.07368421053 | 0 | 10805.9190550248 | 6539.70823529412 | 161.142269811311 | 12918.2742007769 | 0.0607929515418502 | 0.0468915865438619 | 0.0746943165398386 | 0.166666666666667 | 0.0175671546902369 | 0.315766178643096 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.285938509691368 | 0.0144927536231884 | 0 | 0.0426914422005333 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESV | Provincia:Valencia / València | 2565124 | 31 | 2219 | 5 | 193 | 58955.0806669671 | 42961.8858056359 | 74948.2755282983 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0229833258224425 | 0.0167484635462597 | 0.0292181880986254 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.137254901960784 | 0.0428122474980169 | 0.231697556423552 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESVA | Provincia:Valladolid | 519546 | 7 | 218 | 4 | 118 | 40515.0550458716 | 22021.9496186616 | 59008.1604730815 | 4402.93220338983 | 0 | 12995.8768947833 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0779816513761468 | 0.0423869101458997 | 0.113576392606394 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0769230769230769 | 0 | 0.221774806631782 | 0.176470588235294 | 0 | 0.357687762509181 |
| 2020/09/25 | ESZA | Provincia:Zamora | 172539 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020/09/25 | ESZ | Provincia:Zaragoza | 964693 | 4 | 155 | 0 | 0 | 118252.690322581 | 68446.2016128168 | 168059.179032344 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12258064516129 | 0.0709512783992595 | 0.174210011923321 | 0 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Las estimaciones están disponibles en https://github.com/GCGImdea/coronasurveys/tree/master/data/estimates-provinces/ES (ver en https://github.com/GCGImdea/coronasurveys/blob/master/data/estimates-provinces/ES/README.md la explicación del contenido). Las estimaciones más recientes están en https://github.com/GCGImdea/coronasurveys/blob/master/data/estimates-provinces/ES/ES-latest-estimate.csv.
Ayuda a mejorar las estimaciones y colorea el mapa de cobertura disfundiendo la encuesta: https://survey.coronasurveys.org/ES